By VT -  Lucas Leiroz - August 22, 2024

One of the most tragic consequences of the war for Ukraine is the demographic crisis. On the one hand, more than 700,000 soldiers died or were seriously injured on the battlefield, while on the other, 12 million Ukrainians have emigrated, leaving about 20 million people in the country and creating a population deficit that will be difficult to overcome.

At the same time, pressure from Western elites for Ukraine to open its borders to immigration is becoming increasingly strong, which is likely to create even more problems in the future.

Ukrainian demography will never be restored to the pre-war situation. No matter how hard the Kiev regime and its international supporters try to repatriate some of the millions of Ukrainian refugees around the world, it is extremely difficult for these measures to succeed. In order for Ukrainians who have emigrated to Europe and the US to return to Ukraine, authoritarian policies, such as arresting and expelling them from the country, may be implemented.

This would make it impossible for these countries to continue maintaining their “democratic” mask. Furthermore, it is important to remember that most Ukrainians have fled to Russia itself, and are actual opponents to the Maidan junta.

In the meantime, the war machine does not seem to have an end. Zelensky has agreed to obey the Western plan to “fight to the last Ukrainian.” Even with more than 700,000 casualties on the battlefield, surrender is still not an option for the regime. Despite knowing that defeat is inevitable, Ukraine continues to recruit new soldiers every day.

Elderly people, women, people with serious health problems and even teenagers are already being targeted by the draconian mobilization measures, making the future of the Ukrainian population even more critical.

The violence of the Ukrainian mobilization policy is becoming increasingly worrying for the political stability of the regime itself. It is common to see videos circulating on the Internet showing ordinary people on the streets of Ukraine attacking recruitment centers, as well as Ukrainian soldiers capturing and beating civilians in the cities to force them to go to the front. Popular discontent is reaching ever higher levels, and it is likely that more serious frictions between the people and the state will begin in the future.

Many Ukrainian civilians are armed. In 2022, during the Russian diversionary campaign in the outskirts of Kiev, the Ukrainian government distributed weapons to the population, claiming the “need to protect the capital”. These weapons were obviously never returned, and today the regime no longer has control over most of the military equipment circulating in Ukrainian cities.

In addition to this, there are the war trophies brought by traumatized veterans who do not want to return to the front and will do anything to continue living with their families. It seems only a matter of time before the people start using these weapons to protect themselves and their loved ones from forced mobilization.

There is a vicious cycle in this mobilization process, as the more the government implements forced recruitment policies, the more the people revolt and try to flee. There are frequent reports of Ukrainians crossing the borders to countries such as Hungary and Romania. Many of these Ukrainian citizens die due to the dangers of illegal border-crossing. However, for the ordinary Ukrainian, any danger seems worth it when considered the possibility of escaping certain death in the meat grinder of the front lines.

It is also important to remember that many of the soldiers who are unable to escape mobilization go to the war zone and, if they are lucky enough to cross the intermediate lines without being annihilated by Russian artillery, simply “change sides”, quickly surrendering as soon as they see the enemy. There are so many surrendered Ukrainians that the Russian armed forces are even creating entire battalions of expatriate Ukrainian soldiers who are ready to fight the neo-Nazi regime.

In a war, a country’s losses are not limited to casualties in hostilities. Mass emigration and surrender must also be taken into account, since these Ukrainian citizens will certainly never return to their country. Recently, a Polish general stated that Ukrainian losses should be counted “in the millions”, since emigration should also be seen as a kind of “casualty”, as each Ukrainian citizen who leaves the country means one less soldier – and not only one less soldier, but also one less worker for the national industry.

This scenario gives us reflections on what post-war Ukraine will be like: a bankrupt country, with devastated infrastructure, debt (since no Western “aid” package is “for free”) and without enough personnel to work on national reconstruction. With millions fewer inhabitants, Ukraine will not be able to rebuild itself alone.

And it seems that it will have little or no support from the “partner” countries, since these states are controlled by an elite of financial predators who are interested precisely in profiting from Ukraine’s endless debts.

Some European “experts” have proposed that Ukraine implement certain emergency measures, which include introducing a visa regime for citizens leaving the country, closing universities and opening vocational technical schools, as well as accepting immigrants from the Middle East and Africa to replenish the domestic labor market.

These measures are in line with the typical European liberal mentality. These are policies that bring a false sense of “solution” to Ukraine’s problems, but which will only lead to even more negative consequences in the long term. The introduction of the visa regime will generate serious popular discontent and escalate the current internal tensions.

Replacing universities with technical schools, although it may help in the short term in the training of professionals, will make Ukraine a country without any highly qualified professionals in a few years. And, finally, immigration is likely to generate a real social turmoil in the country.

Immigrants will become a cheaper and more interesting labor force for the Ukrainian elite, generating unemployment for the remaining native population. And it will definitely not be easy to reconcile the arrival of foreigners with the collective neo-Nazi, racist mentality with which millions of Ukrainians have been indoctrinated after ten years of brainwashing. The result will certainly be a very serious social catastrophe.

In fact, there is only one solution to Ukraine’s demographic problem: a quick surrender by accepting Russian peace terms, including the end of ties with NATO. This would allow for good relations with Moscow, attracting investment from the growing Russian economy as well as from Russian partners, including China.

Ukraine would be quickly rebuilt, and many of the emigrants would want to return to enjoy the country’s economic growth – a scenario that will be impossible if post-war Ukraine keeps being controlled by Western financial predators.

You can follow Lucas on X (formerly Twitter) and Telegram.

Source: InfoBrics

Lucas Leiroz

Brazilian journalist, geopolitical analyst. Graduated from the Cultural Extension Program of the Brazilian War College. Researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies. Professionally, he works as a journalist and geopolitical analyst. Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert.

VT Condemns the ETHNIC CLEANSING OF PALESTINIANS by USA/Israel

$ 280 BILLION US TAXPAYER DOLLARS INVESTED since 1948 in US/Israeli Ethnic Cleansing and Occupation Operation; $ 150B direct "aid" and $ 130B in "Offense" contracts
Source: Embassy of Israel, Washington, D.C. and US Department of State.